Morning Asia @ 7 AM – Monday, August 25th 2025

# In early action, Gift Nifty is indicating a gap-up open with all eyes on Nifty 25000 mark but that said anxiety and nervousness still prevails beneath the surface amidst Trump’s 50% tariff hike.

# The 2-big question for our stock markets remains…

1) Can Nifty climb the ‘Wall of Worry’ of 50% Trump’s tariff to come into effect this August 27th?

2) Can Nifty continue to remain bubbly on any early morning excessive strength?

# Our call of the day suggests to stay light on any excessive strength as the gyan mantra for the day is to stay nimble.

# 7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:
GIFT Nifty: (+96, 24975)
Dow Futures: (-14, 45618)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-19, 23479)

Nikkei (+266, 42905)
Hang Seng (+268, 25607)

Dow Jones (+846, 45632)
Nasdaq Composite (+396, 21497)
Bovespa (+3457, 137968)

# MARKET TRENDS:
Global cues: Positive
FII: (-329.25 crores)
DII: (-1622.52 crores)
Sentiment: Risky
Market Breadth: Negative
Technicals: Consolidation
F&O: 24000 - 25500 zone.

INDIA VIX 11.70 (+2.86%)
USD/INR Futures (Aug) (87.53)
NIFTY PCR (28th Aug) 0.62
Bank Nifty PCR (28th Aug) 0.52

# Nifty Outlook: Nifty’s upside is likely to be capped. An excessive intraday strength could be a mere dead-cat-bounce. Caution shall continue to be the buzzword.

# WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 24870):
SUPPORT: 24771/24605
RESISTANCE: 25050/25250
RANGE: 24750-25050
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 24747
50 DMA: 25013
200 DMA: 24063

SENSEX (CMP 81307)
SUPPORT: 80751/80201
RESISTANCE: 81900/82300
RANGE: 80800-81800
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 81046
50 DMA: 81971
200 DMA: 79250

BANK NIFTY (CMP 55149)
SUPPORT: 54700/53481
RESISTANCE: 55800/56600
RANGE: 54500-55600
BIAS: Negative
21 DMA: 55706
50 DMA: 56283
200 DMA: 52856

# STOCK MARKET NEWS:

# In the week gone by, the benchmark Nifty began the week roaring like a lion but ended with a whimper, ending the Friday session lower in a drop attributed to profit taking.

# Well, a look under the hood still gives us a pretty good feeling and hopefully, Nifty shall reclaim the 25000 milestone on closing basis which is just a whisper away.

The 3-key positive catalysts:

1) PM Modi’s roadmap to 'atmanirbharta' amidst GST tax reform.

2) Trump-Putin meet in Alaska where dialogue and diplomacy prevailed.

3) Rating upgrade of India by S&P to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB-’, the first upgrade since 2007.

# Meanwhile, as we start a brand-new week, the 2-biggest positive catalysts:

1) The Dow Jones scaled a new record all-time-time in Friday’s trade, Dow rips 846 Points.

2) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hints at rate cut in his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. September rate cut appears to be a done deal.

# Bottom-line: Our call of the day suggests despite positive catalysts caution is warranted as the big question remains: Can Nifty climb the ‘Wall of Worry’ of 50% Trump’s tariff to come in effect this August 27th?

# Technically, on the upside, Nifty will face its 1st hurdles at last week’s high at 25154 mark.

The biggest support to watch will be at Nifty’s 100 -DMA at 24633 mark.

# The Gyan Mantra: Stay light on any excessive intraday strength on Nifty as profit booking and long unwinding could be the preferred theme. Makes sense to stay nimble.

1) In last week’s trade, shares of BSE (-6%), Angel One (-4.7%) and other capital market-related firms tanked after Sebi hinted at longer F&O tenors.

2) Vodafone Idea (+15%) gained after Q1 result where it reported a wider loss in Q1 FY26 despite modest growth in revenue.

Also helping sentiments were media reports, that the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) has received a proposal to steady Vi. In an informal note to the PMO, the Department of Telecommunications (DoT) has proposed “multiple relief options", including a further two-year pause on paying the statutory dues under moratorium currently. The PMO will take the final decision on whether any relief measures need to be extended.

3) Last week, Netweb Technologies rallied 9% on backdrop of the company's excellent performance on the standalone net profit surged 100.03% to Rs 30.47 crore on 101.73% jump in revenue from operations to Rs 301.21 crore in Q1 FY26 over Q1 FY25.

# Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (24870): Sell on any early strength between 24950-25000 zone. Stop at 25451. Targets 24800/24771. Aggressive targets at 24336-24400 zone.

Bank Nifty (55149): Sell between 55600-55750 zone. Stop at 56751. Targets 54700/54100. Aggressive targets at 53481 mark.

# Our chart of the day is bullish on CIPLA, DR REDDYS LAB and NYKAA on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek/Intermonth perspective.

# The 1 Stock to SELL Right Now: SELL ANGEL ONE (CMP 2519): Sell between 2545-2560 zone. Stop at 2711. Targets 2457/2401. Aggressive targets at 2221. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Signaling a massive breakdown on the daily charts. Aiming to move down below a higher consolidation on the daily charts. Key interweek support 2457. Major hurdles only at 2703 mark. 200-DMA at 2639.

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Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

This does not construe to be an investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only. The author accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments.