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Morning Action @ 7 AM – Monday, August 18th 2025

# Door open for Nifty and Bank Nifty's massive smart gains.

# The Biggest Positive trigger: The Modi Government is aiming to rationalize GST rates in just 2 slabs, probably by next GST council meeting (September 9th, 2025).

5% and 18%.

# Meanwhile, optimism is in the air this Monday at global stock markets as Wall Street index futures too look to extend two weeks of gains driven by optimism over potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

# Bullish traders will still keep a close eye on the biggest headwind which remains on the backburner: Trump’s 50% tariff on India.

# Bottom-line: A modest rally could be imminent as pessimism is likely to take a backseat also on hopes that the Trump administration could postpone the deadline of August 27 for implementing the additional 25% tariffs against India.

# 7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:
GIFT Nifty: (+221, 24876)
Dow Futures: (+73, 45019)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+74, 23786)

Nikkei (+267, 43645)
Hang Seng (+23, 25293)

Dow Jones (+35, 44946)
Nasdaq Composite (-88, 21623)
Bovespa (-15, 136341)

# MARKET TRENDS:
Global cues: Positive
FII: (-1926.76 crores)
DII: (+3895.68 crores)
Sentiment: Bullish
Market Breadth: Positive
Technicals: Rebound Play
F&O: 23500 - 25500 zone.

# INDIA VIX 12.35 (+1.73%)
# USD/INR Futures (Aug) (87.65)
# NIFTY PCR (28th Aug) 0.98
# Bank Nifty PCR (28th Aug) 0.72

# Nifty Outlook: Nifty’s rebound should gather steam on backdrop of expected changes in GST rate structure which should boost consumption and growth signalled by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

# WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 24631):
SUPPORT: 24509/24333
RESISTANCE: 24857/25250
RANGE: 24550-24850
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 24775
50 DMA: 25021
200 DMA: 24047

SENSEX (CMP 80598):
SUPPORT: 80300/79772
RESISTANCE: 81300/82784
RANGE: 80300-81500
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 81191
50 DMA: 82034
200 DMA: 79207

BANK NIFTY (CMP 55342)
SUPPORT: 54700/53483
RESISTANCE: 55900/56700
RANGE: 55000-56500
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 55984
50 DMA: 56371
200 DMA: 52760

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN FRIDAY’S TRADE:

# The Risk-On Rally Continues at Wall Street as The Street Bets on Rate Cut.

# In Friday’s trade, the Dow Jones index scaled new record highs, as optimism was buoyed by a 12% surge in UnitedHealth stock price after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a major stake.

# At Trump-Putin meet in Alaska, dialogue and diplomacy prevailed.

# Meanwhile, all eyes turn towards Washington, where US President Donald Trump will meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to advance peace talks with Russia.

# Gold prices ($3340 per ounce) traded with negative bias as and remained near its lowest level in over two weeks, as prospects of easing geopolitical tensions dulled the metal’s safe-haven appeal.

# WTI crude oil futures were seen depressed near the $62.52 a barrel as markets focused on the meeting in Washington between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy aimed at advancing a peace deal with Russia.

# STOCK MARKET NEWS:

# Welcome to the first trading day of the week!

# In the week gone by, Nifty eked out narrow gains and the biggest positive takeaway was that gains came after 6-weeks of losing streak

# The Two Positive Catalysts this Monday Morning:

1) PM Modi’s roadmap to 'atmanirbharta' amidst GST tax reform.
2) Trump-Putin meet in Alaska where dialogue and diplomacy prevailed.

# Nifty bulls will aim to hit Nifty’s 21 DMA at 24775 mark and then all eyes will be on the psychological 25000 mark.

# Well, the good news is that there is a bright chance that the Modi Government shall rationalize GST rates in just 2 slabs probably by next GST council meeting this September 9th, 2025.

5% and 18%.

# The expected roll out of next-generation GST reforms should definitely help reducing the tax burden on ordinary people, make daily necessities cheaper and boost growth.

# It will be a double Diwali gift for Indian consumers, micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) and small entrepreneurs set to benefit.

# Obviously, Central Government revenue will get hit but we suspect, that will be offset by consumption which is likely to flare up significantly

# The two big catalysts this week:

1) All eyes will be on the Jackson Hole Symposium, as the street will watch the speech by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell scheduled on August 22.

2) The FOMC Minutes to be released on August 20.

# STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

1) Infosys shares rose nearly 1.75% in the week gone by after it announced a joint venture with Telstra, where it will invest around ₹1,300 crore.

2) Muthoot Finance shares scaled a new high, gaining 10% in Friday’s trade, after the company spectacular Q1 results.

# Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (24631): Buy at CMP. Stop at 24261. Targets 24750/24857. Aggressive targets at 25000-25300 zone.

Bank Nifty (55342): Buy at CMP. Stop at 54501. Targets 55750/56100. Aggressive targets at 56700 mark.

# Our chart of the day is bullish on NYKA, SBI, and MARUTI on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

# The 1 Stock to Buy Right Now: BUY NYKAA (CMP 215): Buy at CMP. Stop at 199. Targets 223/237. Aggressive targets at 253. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Momentum Play. Signalling a massive rebound on the upside. Bounced from lower levels in yesterday's session. Key interweek support 187. Major hurdles only at 222 mark. 200-DMA at 184.

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# 9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.

# On an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to 50,000.

# Over and above the net trading losses incurred, loss makers expended an additional 28%of net trading losses as transaction costs.

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Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

This does not construe to be an investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only. The author accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments.