Morning Action @ 7 AM – Monday, August 11th 2025

# The Good News: Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start for our stock markets.

# Hopefully, Nifty joins the conga line of rising stock markets across the globe; especially the bullish theme at Wall Street.

# Bottom-line: Nifty is likely to consolidate with bulls praying that Nifty does not slip below its major inter-week support placed at 24271 mark.

# 7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:
GIFT Nifty: (+61, 24455)
Dow Futures: (+129, 44305)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+42, 23653)

Nikkei (Closed, 41820)
Hang Seng (+88, 24947)

Dow Jones (+207, 44176)
Nasdaq Composite (+207, 21450)
Bovespa (-614, 135913)

# MARKET TRENDS:
Global cues: Positive
FII: (+1932.80 crores)
DII: (+7723.70 crores)
Sentiment: Neutral
Market Breadth: Neutral
Technicals: Weakening momentum
F&O: 23500 - 25300 zone.

# INDIA VIX 12.12 (+3.68%)
# USD/INR Futures (Aug) (87.71)
# NIFTY PCR (28th Aug) 0.75
# Bank Nifty PCR (28th Aug) 0.71

# Nifty Outlook: Nifty will aim to consolidate with positive bias despite signs of higher tariffs.

# WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 24363):
SUPPORT: 24271/24050
RESISTANCE: 24751/24857
RANGE: 24300-24700
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 24885
50 DMA: 25027
200 DMA: 24043

SENSEX (CMP 79858):
SUPPORT: 79551/79100
RESISTANCE: 81100/81700
RANGE: 79500-80500
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 81571
50 DMA: 82086
200 DMA: 79196

BANK NIFTY (CMP 55005)
SUPPORT: 54750/53483
RESISTANCE: 55900/56700
RANGE: 54700-55700
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 56299
50 DMA: 56408
200 DMA: 52678

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN FRIDAY’S TRADE:

# In Friday’s trade at Wal Street:

1) Nasdaq ended with a new record high.
2) The S&P 500 came within a hair of a new high.
3) While the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended in comfortably in green and still has yet to hit a fresh peak in 2025.

# The biggest positive catalyst at Wall Street: According to CME FedWatch, traders now see a 91–93% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September.

# Helping sentiments were reports which suggested Fed Governor Christopher Waller is a leading contender to head the US central bank, bolstering market bets on a September rate cut.

# Meanwhile, Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chairman ends in May 2026, and he has said he hasn’t decided if he plans to serve out the rest of his term into 2028.

# Gold prices ($3375 per ounce) trades firm, the highest in two weeks driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut as well as safe-haven demand.

# WTI crude oil futures were seen trading with negative bias at the $63.256per barrel after OPEC+’s decision to raise output and growing geopolitical uncertainty.

# STOCK MARKET NEWS:

# Nifty bears were seen tightening their grip in the week gone by as the benchmark fell for the 6th straight week.

# The negative takeaway was that anxiety, nervousness, fear and panic ruled Dalal Street in a ‘turbulent Week’ with investors taking a cautious stand after India got the rough end of Trump’s trade war.

# Investors were also apprehensive amidst the risks, especially in a busy uninspiring Q1 earning week.

# In today’s session, Nifty’s recent drubbing could take a breather on the backdrop of improving leads from Wall Street.

# The 2-biggest positive catalysts:

1) Fed’s September rate cut is back on the table.

2) In Friday’s negative session, FIIs turned out to be net buyers to the tune of Rupees 1933 crores

# Meanwhile, this week, all eyes will be on the following theme:

1) The US CPI on Tuesday, August 12th.

2) All eyes will be on Fed Governor Christopher Waller who is a leading contender to head the US central bank, bolstering market bets on a September rate cut.

3) U.S. retail sales for July 2025 to be out on August 15.

4) Investor attention will remain squarely focused on President Trump’s trade war after he announced a nearly 50% tariff on Indian imports.

5) Corporate India’s Q1 earnings season enters its final leg.

6) India’s July CPI rate will be unveiled on August 12.

7) India’s WPI inflation figure for July 2025 will be made public on August 14.

8) Passenger vehicle sales data for July 2025 will be released on August 15.

# The Gyan Mantra: Hopefully, Nifty’s 200 DMA at 24043-mark acts as a very good support

# Stocks on Spotlight:

1) Key corporates to announce their Q1 results this week are as follows:

Monday, August 11th: BATA INDIA, BEML, TITAGARH

Tuesday, August 12th: ABBOT INDIA, ALL CARGO, APOLLO HOSPITAL, HAL, HINDALCO, JINDAL STEEL, MRF, NYKAA, PI INDUSTRIES, ZYDUS LIFE

# Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (24363): Buy at CMP. Stop at 23901. Targets 24700/24857. Aggressive targets at 25000-25300 zone.

Bank Nifty (55005): Buy at CMP. Stop at 54101. Targets 55500/56100. Aggressive targets at 56600 mark.

# Our chart of the day is bullish on HPCL, BPCL, and MARUTI on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

# The 1 Stock to Buy Right Now: BUY MARUTI (CMP 12590): Buy at CMP. Stop at 12101. Targets 13087/13501. Aggressive targets at 14151. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Signaling a massive breakout on the upside. Aiming unchartered territories. Key interweek support 12221. Major hurdles only at 13501 mark. 200-DMA at 11982.

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RISK DISCLOSURES ON DERIVATIVES:

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Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

This does not construe to be an investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only. The author accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments.