The Week That Was @ 7:30 AM – Saturday, June 21st 2025

 

June 16th to June 20th 2025.

 

# The Good News: Nifty climbs and ends above the 25000 mark as investors risk appetite seen perking up.

 

# The Positive Catalyst: US seen deferring the US attack on Iran for 2—weeks. This move is widely acclaimed as a good move by the netizens of equity markets across the globe.

 

# The Gyan Mantra: Nifty and its stocks are primed for quick aggressive bullish moves. So, investors need to be ready with a quick, aggressive strategy. 

 

Nifty (+1.59%, 25112)

Sensex (+1.59%, 82408)

 

 

Nifty ran out of the gate in hopes that an escalation in Iran-Israel can be avoided by finding a diplomatic solution before the US President Donald Trump’s 2-week deadline to decide whether the US will join the Israeli attacks on Iran.

 

Please note, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had rejected US President Donald Trump's demand for unconditional surrender.

 

# Interestingly, the optimism was insulated and shielded even from the 2-big negative catalysts like:

 

1) Fed policy uncertainty.

2) Trump’s tariff woes.

 

# WTI crude oil prices traded firm near the $74 per barrel mark, amidst rising tensions between the US and Iran which has sparked fears of supply disruptions.

 

# The bigger fear now is that a broader conflict could impact the flow of oil from the Strait of Hormuz, the most critical chokepoint for oil supplies on the planet.

 

# Meanwhile, despite headwinds, FIIs turned out to be net buyers in the week gone by to the tune of Rs. 8473.30 crores. FIIs also continue to be net buyers in the June month to the tune of Rs. 3661 crores.

 

 

Weekly Recap: Instruments LTP Weekly % Change

Nifty 25112+1.59%

 

Sensex 82408 +1.59%

Bank Nifty 56253  +1.31%

Nifty Midcap 16357 (-0.21%)

India VIX 13.67 (-9.33%)

 

Dow Jones 42135 (-0.12%)

Nasdaq  21557(-0.34%)

Bovespa 137224+0.04%

 

Crude Oil 73.63 +0.88%

Gold 3368 -1.85%

Silver 36.03 -0.75%

USD/INR 86.56 +0.72%

 

# Here are how indices performed in the week gone by:

 

1) Nifty ended 1.59% higher. 

 

Technically speaking, Nifty is aiming hard to move above a complex ‘Flag Pattern’ on the weekly charts, indicating a bright chance of Nifty spiking higher with an interweek perceptive. 

 

2) Bank Nifty (+1.31%) was seen consolidating with positive bias and most importantly, mirroring Nifty’s gains.

 

3) Nifty Private Bank index ended 1.64% higher while Nifty PSU Bank index slipped 1.30% lower on a weekly basis.

 

4) The broader markets were seen consolidating with slight negative bias as the Nifty Mid-cap 50 index inched 0.21% lower while the Nifty Small-cap index slipped 0.98% lower.

 

Bullish Sectors:

Nifty IT   +1.36%

Nifty Pharma -1.69%

Nifty Media   -2.97%

 

Bearish Sectors:

Nifty Reality +0.66%

Nifty FMCG  +0.19%

Nifty Metal (-1.30%)

Nifty Auto (+1.51%)

Nifty Infra (+1.77%)

Nifty PSE Index (-0.02%) 

Nifty Energy (-0.39%)

Nifty Oil & Gas (+0.16%)

 

STOCK SPECIFIC NEWS:

 

1) In the week gone by, Siemens Energy India Ltd (SEIL), the newly demerged energy business of Siemens, made a debut on the bourses. The stock closed at Rs 2,666 on the NSE, higher than the discovered price of Rs 2,478.20. 

 

2) ESAF Small Finance Bank slipped 1.35% even after the bank's board approved a major clean-up of its balance sheet by offloading bad loans worth Rs 735.18 crore to an Asset Reconstruction Company (ARC).

 

3) Tata Elxsi slipped 1.15%. The company announced that it has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Infineon Technologies to jointly develop application-ready EV solutions tailored to the Indian market.

 

4) Nestle India fell 0.69% despite announcing that its board will consider a bonus share issue on 26 June 2025.

 

5) Reliance Infrastructure (-3.37%) witnessed profit booking after its subsidiary, Reliance Aerostructure Limited (RAL), inked a milestone deal with French aerospace giant Dassault Aviation. Announced at the Paris Air Show, the partnership will see the two companies jointly manufacture Falcon 2000 business jets in India.

 

6) GMR Airports (+0.09%)was seen consolidating after the company reported a 0.8% year-on-year (YoY) increase in passenger traffic across all GMR airports, reaching over 10 million passengers in May 2025.

 

7) Optiemus Infracom soared 8% after the company announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Optiemus Electronics (OEL), has collaborated with OnePlus to locally manufacture and deliver premium Internet of Things (IoT) devices in India.

 

8) Alembic Pharmaceuticals fell 3.81%. The company said that it has received the Establishment Inspection Report (EIR) from the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) for its Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API)-III facility in Karakhadi, Gujarat.

 

9) Polycab India shed 0.50% despite the company executing a contract worth Rs 6,447.54 crore with Bharat Sanchar Nigam (BSNL) to act as the project implementation agency (PIA) for the BharatNet project in Karnataka, Goa, and Puducherry.

 

10) Tata Motors’ stock price plunged 5% after Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), its UK-based luxury arm, flagged weak free cash flow expectations and a slew of macro risks in its latest investor presentation.

 

11) Sun Pharmaceutical (-1.34%) slipped after  announced the appointment of Kirti Ganorkar as the managing director to succeed Dilip Sanghvi, with effect from 1 September 2025. Meanwhile, USFDA conducted a good manufacturing practices (GMP) inspection at company’s Halol facility (Gujarat, India) from 02 June to 13 June 2025. At the conclusion of the inspection, the USFDA issued a Form-483, with 8 observations.

 

12) Spicejet (-8.6%) plunged despite its consolidated net profit surged 168.92% to Rs 341.88 crore on 16.08% jump in revenue from operations to Rs 1,395.96 crore in Q4 FY25 over Q4 FY24.

 

13) IGL (+3.42%) shares gained on reports of Delhi govt revising EV transition timelines

 

 

 

# In the week gone by, notable gainers amongst Nifty 50 were:

M&M (+5.93%)

TRENT (+5.5%)

BHARTI AIRTEL (+5.23%)

EICHER MOTORS (+3.87%) 

BEL (3.56%)

 

# And the losers were:

TATA MOTORS (-5.03%)

ADANI PORTS (-3.96%)

BAJAJ FINANCE (-3.01%)

DR REDDYS LAB (-2.73%)

ADANI ENTERPRISES (-2.37%)

 

# What’s Next for Nifty?

 

# Technically speaking, immediate hurdles on Nifty are placed at 25222 mark on closing basis. Above Nifty 25222 mark, aggressive upside targets now seen at its all-time-high at 26277.35 mark. 

 

The biggest support for next week’s trade on Nifty is placed at 24473 (low as on June 13th) and then downside risk seen at seen at 23935 mark (low as on May 9th).

 

# Our call of the week suggests to keep a close eye on:

 

1) We will spy with one big eye on developments in the Israel-Iran conflict, particularly the potential for US military involvement.

 

And the uncertainty at the moment are:

 

A) How long Israel-Iran conflict will go on?

B) Israel’s target list?

C) Will the Trump administration will be involved?

D) How Israel-Iran war could play out on oil prices?

 

2) Attention will also turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress, as markets look for signs of a hawkish tone balanced by a data-dependent approach. 

 

In the week gone by, sentiments were bit depressed despite the Federal Reserve maintaining its forecast for two rate cuts in 2025. 

 

Probably, bullish traders took it with a pinch of salt that Chair Jerome Powell was sounding hawkish as the Tariffs will likely push inflation higher in the months ahead.

 

3) On the data front, key US releases include

 

The PCE report

Durable goods orders

and the goods trade balance. 

 

# Long Story Short: Volatility is likely to be the hallmark. The gyan mantra is to stay cautiously optimistic.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.