The Week That Was @ 8:30 AM – Saturday, August 9th 2025
August 4th to August 8th 2025.
Nifty fell for the 6th straight week as India got the rough end of Trump’s trade war!
Nifty bulls were seen sobbing amidst Trump’s tariff uncertainty.
Actually, Trump’s higher tariffs unleashed chaos as investors looked to lighten long positions and waited anxiously for clarity to emerge!
Nifty (-0.82%, 24363)
Sensex (-0.92%, 79858)
Bank Nifty (-1.10%, 55005)
In the week gone by, Nifty bears were seen tightening their grip and the attack reminded the main character in The Revenant: A big fearsome bear attacked again and again.
# Keeping bearish trade alive were 7-key negative catalysts like:
1) Hawkish RBI. (RBI kept Repo rates unchanged at 5.5%, stance also was kept Neutral. The street perceives this as hawkish).
2) Deteriorating technical conditions.
3) Massive profit booking and long unwinding.
4) FII selling: This August, the FIIs have already net sold to the tune of Rs. 14019 crores.
5) Uninspiring Q1FY26 by Indian corporates.
6) The Indian rupee has extended its fall towards 87.70.
7) The US President Donald Trump has doubled tariffs on India from 25% to 50% (Of this 50%, the additional 25% tariffs, however, will kick in from August 27).
# Bottom-line: Amidst pessimism at Dalal Street, bulls will hope and pray that Nifty’s 200 DMA at 24043-mark acts as a very good support.
Weekly Recap:
# Here are how indices performed in the week gone by:
1) Nifty ended 0.82% lower and the losing streak continued for 6Nifty th straight week. Nifty is trading well below its 21-DMA & 50-DMA.
2) Bank Nifty (-1.10%) mostly mirrored Nifty’s fall to end the week way below the dotted lines, and most importantly, was seen slightly underperforming Nifty’s (-0.84%) loss. Net-net, Bank Nifty ended the week on a jittery/slippery note.
3) Nifty Private Bank index tumbled 1.32% lower while Nifty PSU Bank index gained 1.59% higher.
4) The broader markets were seen drifting down amidst profit booking as the Nifty Mid-cap 50 index fell 1.11% while the Nifty Small-cap index plunged 1.36%.
Bullish Sectors:
Nifty PSUBANKS (+1.59%)
Nifty MEDIA (+1.13%)
Nifty METAL (+0.49%)
Nifty AUTO (+0.27%)
Bearish Sectors:
Nifty PHARMA (-2.77%)
Nifty REALTY (-2.45%)
Nifty FMCG (-2.31%)
Nifty Pharma (-2.77%)
Nifty ENERGY (-1.42%)
Nifty IT (-0.72%)
STOCK SPECIFIC NEWS:
1) Honeywell Automation India (-6.5%) tumbles after the company’s standalone net profit declined 8.71% to Rs 124.60 crore in Q1 FY26, compared with Rs 136.50 crore in Q1 FY25. However, revenue from operations jumped 23.18% year on year to Rs 1,183.1 crore in Q1 FY26.
2) MCX (+1.5%) climbs after Q1 profit soars 83% YoY, a strong set of numbers for the first quarter of FY26.
3) Indusind Bank (-0.16%) consolidates on appointing Rajiv Anand as MD & CEO effective 25 August 2025, for a term of 3 years.
4) RailTel Corp (-2.37%) was depressed even after bagging from Bihar State Electronics Development Corporation for a project worth Rs 216.81 crore.
5) Divi’s Laboratories (-7%) plunges after reporting consolidated net profit attributable to the shareholders of the company at Rs 545 crore for the first quarter ended June 2025, posting a 26.7% year-on-year (YoY) jump from a profit of Rs 430 crore reported in the year-ago quarter.
6) Jindal Stainless Steel (+3.02%) gains after reporting a net profit of Rs 714 crore for Q1 FY26. (This marks a 10% on-year rise from the Rs 648 crore net profit reported in Q1 FY25. The firm’s revenue from operations meanwhile rose to Rs 10,207 crore).
7) Blue Star (+6.09%) gains after reporting a net profit of Rs 121 crore for Q1 FY26. This marks a 28% YoY decline from the Rs 169 crore net profit reported in Q1 FY25. The firm's revenue from operations meanwhile rose to Rs 2,982 crore
8) Fevicol-maker Pidilite Industries (+7.7%) reported a net profit of Rs 672 crore for Q1 FY26. This marks a 19% YoY rise from the Rs 567 crore net profit reported in Q1 FY25. The firm’s revenue from operations rose to Rs 3,753 crore.
9) PVR Inox (+7.3%) jumps after recording its highest ever F&B Spend per Head (SPH) of Rs 148 in Q1, marking a 10% YoY growth. Net debt reduced 38% since merger to Rs 891.5 crore, while Ad Income rose to the highest level since pandemic to Rs 109.6 crore.
10) Power Finance Corporation (PFC) (+0.2%) was consolidating after reporting a standalone net profit of Rs 4,501.50 crore for Q1 FY26. This marks a 21% YoY rise from the Rs 3,717.88 crore net profit reported in the year ago period. Its revenue from operations meanwhile rose to Rs 13,773 crore.
11) Bharat Forge (-0.95%) stayed depressed even after reporting a standalone net profit which rose 26%YoY to Rs 339 crore. Revenue from operations declined 10% YoY to Rs 2,105 crore.
12) Bajaj Auto (+2.33%) gained reported a net profit of Rs 2,210 crore for Q1 FY26. This marks a 14% YoY rise from the Rs 1,942 crore reported in Q1 FY25. The firm's revenue from operations meanwhile rose to Rs 13,133.35 crore.
13) TCS (1.11%) inched up on reports that it will roll out salary hikes for 80% of staff starting September 1.
15) Biocon (-10.36%) drops after Q1 PAT tumbles 95% YoY to Rs 31 cr despite of 15.8% jump in Net sales to Rs 3,910.10 crore in Q1 FY26 over Q1 FY25.
16) HPCL (+1.4%) gains as Q1 PAT skyrockets 1,128% YoY to Rs 4,371 crore; board approves Rs 10,000 cr fundraising plan; year-on-year (YoY) increase from Rs 355.80 crore in the same quarter last year.
17) Titan Company (+4.37%) edges higher after Q1 PAT rises over 52% YoY to Rs 1,091 crore on a 20.4% rise in operating revenue to Rs 14,673 crore in Q1 FY26 as compared with Q1 FY25.
18) Life Insurance Corp (+3.18%) zooms higher after Q1 PAT jumps 5% YoY to Rs 10,987 cr
19) PTC India (+2.05%) Q1 profit jumps 61% to ₹243 cr mainly due to lower expenses. The firms Profit After Tax (PAT) from continuing operation was at Rs 150.76 crore in the year-ago period. Total expenses declined to Rs 3,815.49 crore from Rs 4,486.14 crore, a company statement said.
21) Apollo Tyres (-1.51%) traded sluggish after its net profit came in at ₹12.8 crore for the June quarter on one-time expense of Rs 368.5 crore for the restructuring process. Revenue from operations in the quarter rose to Rs 6,561 crore as compared with Rs 6,335 crore in the year-ago period,
# In the week gone by, notable gainers amongst Nifty 50 were:
HEROMOTO CORP (+6.68%)
TITAN (+4.35%)
TATA STEEL (+3.23%)
TECH MAHINDRA (+2.89%)
HDFC LIFE (+2.68%)
# And the losers were:
ADANI ENTERPRISES (-7.35%)
APOLLO HOSPITALS (-3.63%)
INFOSYS (-3.16%)
SUN PHARMA (-2.63%)
JIO FINANCIAL (-2.53%)
# WHAT’S NEXT FOR NIFTY?
# Please note: Bear attacks can be terrifying, but they're normal, inevitable and – most importantly – they don't last forever.
# Technically, Nifty forms a bearish candle on the weekly and monthly charts, indicating tough resistance to continue at its 21-DMA at 24885 mark. Major inter-month resistance at 25251 mark.
Meanwhile, the biggest interweek support for Nifty will be at its 200-DMA at 24043 mark and the downside risk is seen at 23936 (low as on May 9th)
# Our call of the week suggests to keep a close eye on the Next 3-Big Catalysts from Wall Street:
1) The US CPI on Tuesday, August 12th and that will move the needle towards a 25 or 50bp rate cut for September.
2) All eyes will be on Fed Governor Christopher Waller who is a leading contender to head the US central bank, bolstering market bets on a September rate cut.
Please note, there are still 3-FOMC meetings to take place this year 2025: September, October and December.
3) U.S. retail sales for July 2025 will be announced on August 15.
# Moving forward, the next 5-key catalysts which will command investors’ attention:
1) Investor attention will remain squarely focused on President Trump’s trade war and closely monitor international trade developments after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a nearly 50% tariff on Indian imports.
2) Also, all eyes will be on corporate India’s Q1 earnings season which enters its final leg as concerns rise about a lacklustre earnings season.
3) India’s CPI rate for the month of July will be unveiled on August 12. (India’s consumer price inflation eased for the eighth straight month, falling to 2.1% in June 2025 — the lowest level since January 2019 — down from 2.82% in May).
4) India’s WPI inflation figure for July 2025 will be made public on August 14. (India’s wholesale prices unexpectedly fell by 0.13% year-on-year in June 2025, reversing from 0.39% growth in May. This marked the first annual decline in wholesale prices since October 2023).
5) Passenger vehicle sales data for July 2025 will be released on August 15.
# Long Story Short: Nifty’s recent selling could take a breather on backdrop improving leads from Wall Street.
Hopefully, Nifty’s 200 DMA at 24043-mark acts as a very good support.
Fingers crossed.
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Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.
This does not construe to be an investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only. The author accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments.
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