Weekly Market Wrap: Saturday, August 30th 2025
# Week Ahead – September 1st
# Before we start, the 2-biggest positive catalyst for next week’s trade:
1) India’s economy grows at faster-than-expected 7.8% in the June quarter.
2) India’s Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council is scheduled to meet on September 3 and 4 to discuss reducing tax rates on various goods and services.
# That said, in the coming quarters the Indian economy could see impact of punitive US tariffs.
# Also note, the Indian rupee has dropped to record lows, breaching the 88-per-dollar mark for the first time over concerns that steep U.S. tariffs could hurt growth and further hit portfolio flows.
# Amidst this backdrop, initiating aggressive long positions at Dalal Street will be just like building a skyscraper on top of quicksand.
Caution shall continue to be the buzzword for perma-bulls camp.
Expect volatility to be the hallmark and hopefully, Nifty’s 200-DMA at 24072-mark acts as a very good support.
# The Week That Was – August 25th to August 29th
1) Nifty plunged 1.78% lower and continues to trade way below its 21 DMA (24709), 50 DMA (24998) and 100 DMA (24687) and most importantly, well below the psychological 25000 mark.
2) The negative takeaway is that the benchmark Nifty is now trading way below its closing level of August 15th, the day when PM Narendra’s Modi announced the roadmap to 'atmanirbharta' amidst GST tax reform.
3) The US July PCE Inflation is seen creeping up clouding the Fed's rate outlook.
4) Persistent FIIs selling: Last week, the FIIs have net sold to the tune of Rs. 21152 Cr.
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# 9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.
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Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.
This does not construe to be an investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only. The author accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments.
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